Trudeau’s Liberals Fall To Near Record Low In Polls – Conservatives Take 9-Point Lead

Written By Wyatt Claypool, Posted on May 16, 2023

Going towards the four currently called federal byelections on June 19, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party have fallen to new lows in popularity. 

The Liberals have gotten used to lagging behind Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives in the polls, but never have they been polling so low they are practically uncompetitive in federal general elections.

So far all four polls conducted by different polling companies in May put the Conservatives ahead of the Liberals, two of which put the Conservatives 6 and 7 percent ahead. But a new poll being released from Nanos puts the Conservatives ahead of the Liberals by 8.9 percent.

Considering that the Liberal Party is considered the “natural governing party of Canada” these polls are nearing 2011 levels of catastrophic for Trudeau’s prospects of remaining prime minister. 

Frankly, the NDP’s 23.2 percent is doing better than the Liberals’ 26.7 percent since the NDP has always had a more concentrated voter base since they collapsed in Quebec in 2015, so the NDP’s polling may represent them taking over dozens of Liberal seats in Ontario, BC, and the Maritimes. This is assuming some competence from NDP leader Jagmeet Singh which is not something responsible people should bet on.

One of the greatest issues for the Liberals right now is that Justin Trudeau leading the party probably prevents them from climbing out of the hole they are in.

According to the early May Abacus Data poll, which overall wasn’t that bad for the Liberal Party, Trudeau had an abysmal overall disapproval rating of 50 percent, with only 31 percent in favour of him. This is near some of his worst ratings ever.

For more context, even though Pierre Poilievre still has some deficits in name-recognition compared to Trudeau, he has a far better approval rating, with a lot of undecided voters to win over to his side.

When the standard-bearer of the party is this unpopular it makes it impossibly difficult to recover the party’s brand in the eyes of the Canadian public. Trudeau has become a non-starter for the majority of Canadians and there are few undecided Canadians left for the Liberals to win back over. 

Too bad this all likely means Trudeau will wait as long as possible for a new federal election.

Wyatt Claypool

Wyatt is a student at Mount Royal University, where he is the president of its Campus Conservative club. In his writing, he focuses on covering provincial and federal politics, firearms regulation, and the energy sector. Wyatt has also previously written for The Post Millennial.

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