NDP likely to Gain Influence after Election, Waking Canadians up to Left-Wing Radicalism

Evidence in polling and political positioning indicates Canada in the next election will not be seeing a Liberal majority, despite falling Conservative Party numbers, and instead, the Liberals will only get another minority government with a much stronger NDP holding the balance of power.

According to 338 Canada with polls averaged and weighted over time the Liberals are projected to get 36.1 percent of the vote in the next election, followed by the Conservatives at 28.3 percent, and the NDP at 19.4 percent, which is around 3.5 percent more than the NDP got in 2019. 

338 Canada also projects that it is a 50/50 whether or not the Liberals will have a majority or a minority government.

It also should be noted that polls around this time, seeing as we are coming to the end of the COVID-19 pandemic, in the minds of most people, the Liberals numbers will be naturally inflated simply from being in charge over the past year and a half, which may put the CPC and NDP higher than they are currently projected. 

If an election were called this fall, or even next spring it seems probable that the Conservatives will lose seats to the Liberals, and potentially new conservative alternative parties, but the Liberals will similarly have some of their urban seats taken by the NDP, while the Bloc mostly holds onto Quebec.

NDP leader Jagmeet Singh has been courting voters who were the most aggressively in favour of lockdowns and government spending programs by now calling for the next election to be put off even past this fall. This could help pull away voters from Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, by making him seem unconcerned about public health and safety in the minds of more left-wing Canadians who uncritically accept the fear-mongering about COVID variants from the legacy media.

Singh is also well aware that the NDP war chest is likely not where he wants it to be right now and they will still be underfunded in key ridings they wish to contest, but making it Trudeau’s responsibility to pull the trigger on the election is a smart move, as it makes the Liberals look like the uncooperative party in the minority government. 

From a conservative perspective, there would be no doubt a Liberal minority with an empowered NDP would increase the speed at which Canada’s economic and social situation continues to fall apart, but at the very least the government only being a minority may help to shorten the length of time before the next election is called afterward like it was after 2019’s election.

For real small ‘c’ conservatives in Canada, it could be the best-case scenario available for Trudeau and the Liberals to make small gains but still not possess a majority and allow the NDP to push them further down the path of radicalism, while dissident conservatives to Erin O’Toole’s, in name only, “Conservative Party” can organize. 

Erin O’Toole has clearly pushed the CPC into being a centre-left party. CPC MPs are becoming increasingly hard to tell apart from the Liberals outside of a few issues where the Conservatives are just less radical but not completely different. On top of that polling shows that Canadians as a whole don’t like O’Toole personally, so pushing to remove the Liberals with the broken Conservative Party is clearly not the way to take Canada back from the radicals.

For Canada to get back on track it needs a real conservative option, with broad appeal, that is actually on the political right, and that will require campaigning against them even if in the short term it appears to benefit the Liberals, because the current Conservative Party is completely unequipped to effectively take on the Liberals, and lack the principles to actually take Canada back from the radical left even if they somehow formed a government. 

Jason Kenney and Doug Ford’s Conservatives beat their provincial leftist opponents, yet the governance of Alberta and Ontario has remained relatively unchanged as if their only goal was to keep the legislature seats warm until the NDP/Liberals come back to repossess them. 

So real conservatives in Canada may have radical left-wingers like Jagmeet Singh and his anti-Canadian caucus to thank for potentially preventing Trudeau from getting a majority for the second time in a row, as it will make Trudeau both look weak, and the radical policies the NDP will likely push will be a great tool to waking up Canadians to the crisis that is the ongoing far-left takeover of Canadian institutions and culture.

Canada may be in a horrible position momentarily but it is often in the aftermath of crises that the greatest reform movements tend to arise.