[…] National Telegraph […]
Written By Wyatt Claypool, Posted on January 27, 2021
According to an Angus Reid poll, back in November after only having been the Conservative Party leader for a little over two months, Erin O’Toole had an overall comfortable approval rating of 76 percent among self-described Canadian conservatives.
Since November O’Toole’s favorable rating has taken a hard tumble, dropping down to 63 percent in the most recent Angus Reid poll, a 13 percent loss in popularity among conservatives in little over two months.
It has also been noted that Erin O’Toole’s current approval rating is lower than Andrew Scheer’s measured at the same time since they were running for the leadership of the Conservative Party.
Although the two Conservative leaders’ approval ratings are only separated by 3 percent, the major difference is that many more conservative Canadians were indifferent or neutral to Scheer a short time into his leadership, but O’Toole on the other hand has a massive chunk of conservatives who already are sure of their dislike for him.
Conservative Leader Favourability 6 Months Into Leadership:
2017: Andrew Scheer
Favourable: 35%
Unfavourable: 36%
Net: -1%2021: Erin O’Toole
Favourable: 32%
Unfavourable: 46%
Net: -14%Angus Reid / January 24, 2021 / n=1559 / Online
— Polling Canada (@CanadianPolling) January 27, 2021
O’Toole’s net unfavorable rating is 13 percent worse than Scheer’s was, who only had a net disapproval rating of 1 percent at the time.
Over the same period of time, the Conservative Party polling numbers have also fallen from 33 percent to 30 percent with the Liberals rising from 34 to 35 percent.
(Left: November 27, 2020 Right: January 22, 2021)
What is also interesting is that between Angus Reid’s November poll and their January poll an “Other Party/Independent” option was displayed, potentially indicating that much of the CPC’s loss in support moved towards smaller parties like the PPC or Maverick Party.
The recent drop in the popularity of both O’Toole and the CPC is likely due to a backlash among the CPC’s base after the recent removal of MP Derek Sloan from the party’s caucus as well as the perceived lack of rhetorical pushback from O’Toole on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
Many conservative Canadians are concerned with the shifting to the political centre by the Conservative Party since Scheer’s time as the leader that seems to be continuing to worsen under O’Toole.
Time can only tell whether this recent plummet in Erin O’Toole’s approval rating will remain permanent. If he cannot quickly regain popularity within his own party the CPC’s policy convention in March will likely be an interesting showdown between more traditional Sloan-supporting Conservative members against O’Toole loyalists and those who only wish to focus on beating Trudeau.
Wyatt is a student at Mount Royal University, where he is the president of its Campus Conservative club. In his writing, he focuses on covering provincial and federal politics, firearms regulation, and the energy sector. Wyatt has also previously written for The Post Millennial.
[…] National Telegraph […]
A well written report. Thanks for your effort. It raises awareness.
[…] National Telegraph […]
November 11, 2024
September 27, 2024
honestly O Tool dose not have a chance he should step down an hand over leadership to Pierre Poilievre he is by far the only candidate willing to stand up an ask the tough questions an should be leading the conservatives
O Toole is a Dangerous leader for the Party
when they anointed erin as supreme puba… it is just turdeau lite… home for liberals crossing the floor.. my support dried up…erins only qualification is he shows he can take orders from his military service… at least derek sloan had some balls…. lewis not so much… too bad.. who is telling erin what to do or say.. hes further left than peeair trudeau was … i will not vote for him to be pm… perhaps the only choice independents
Your article made a good point. But what you failed to do, what is hidden in this, is the changes, if any, in the favorable, unfavorable ratings by people who voted for other parties. You showed it for November, but not for this latest poll.
O’toole is the BIGGEST TOOL in Politics I have ever known in my 77 yrs and studying Politics for 50 yrs. HOW can a Conservative say ‘He will March in the gay parade and condone abortion? He kicked Sloan out because he was jealous…didn’t vote for the a/h and hopes he gets run over.
Erin O’Toole is an unfit leader and a bully. No vote for the CPC from me until he is removed. He has just cost the party the election! 😡
Conservatives across the country should be aware the CPC not only has a feeble leader in O’Toole, they also have party executive that is operating left of center. We wonder, is this position by choice, or are they sacrificing the West in order that they can pander to a preponderance of leftist/socialist voters in the Toronto to Quebec regions?