Are Justin Trudeau And Jagmeet Singh Getting Divorced?

Earlier this year, Canada was treated to a political marriage with all the flash and substance of a Kardashian wedding. After the Liberal government sacrificed a lot of political capital to illegally invoke the Emergencies Act on peaceful anti-mandate protestors Justin Trudeau needed to secure his power base to make it to 2025.

This led to a political marriage between two aspiring social media influencers Justin Trudeau and Jagmeet Singh. When he is not making Tik Tok videos and complaining about American politics, Jagmeet Singh is actually the leader of the Federal NDP. Justin Trueadu, when he is not surfing around BC and complaining about American politics, plays the role of the Prime Minister of Canada.

The two of them lead their parties into a coalition that they claimed is not a coalition.

This is much better described as a political marriage between leaders rather than a party merger since the majority of the Liberal and NDP MPs understand the long-term damage of this Faustian bargain. Both parties can only really politically survive when they are perceived as separate entities, even though in recent years they have both basically adopted the same identity politics-focused worldview and fantastical “Green” centred energy policy. 

The NDP needs to attract people by claiming that they are the real Leftists and true Socialists that will usher in the utopia that the capitalist Liberals are blocking with their love of capitalism or whatever else. Conversely, the Liberals need to appeal to the educated professional urbanites by showing that they are the reasonable Left that will not burn down the pillars of the country like the NDP want to.

This is why the Conservative party always scaremongers over a potential Liberal-NDP coalition. The fear of the NDP gaining power even propelled Stephen Harper to a strong majority in 2011.

Even though this is a well-understood political truth in Ottawa both leaders decided to enter into this marriage. The justification from Jagmeet Singh was to get a socialized dental care plan, and Trudeau’s reasoning was the classic word salad about Conservatives being evil. These excuses might work well enough to pacify the majority of the mainstream Canadian media, which is now dependent on government money to survive, but most reasonable can see through this.

CPC leadership candidate Roman Babar was the first political figure to cut right through to what Jagmeet Singh’s likely motivations were when he pointed out that Jagmeet Singh qualifies for his pension in 2025, so stabilizing the Liberals until then has immense personal benefits for Jagmeet.

What Trudeau gets from the alliance is a better shield against any potential consequences he might face for all the lies and misinformation he used to invoke the Emergencies Act and use force on a group of peaceful protestors. Also, he gains the votes from the NDP to help force through his rather radical agenda before he is finally voted out.

This marriage only happened because both leaders were on shaky footing internally, to begin with, and entering into this deal only made things worse. But now the first external cracks have started to show in their marriage as Jagmeet Singh has given a public ultimatum to Trudeau: either they enact the NDP’s dental plan by the end of the year or their alliance is over.

In the wake of the initial merger Trudeau shook off the NDP’s ideas for dental care, but with the current political landscape will Trudeau be forced into it by the NDP? Will the Liberal caucus even hold together if he tries? These are the big political questions facing Trudeau.

This breaks down into a struggle between the political ambitions of the two leaders and the survival instinct of their backbench MPs. Will those who oppose this unholy alliance muster the courage to do something about it?

There are some potential spoilers to these questions. However, it looks like the Liberals have started to enter campaign mode sending ministers all over the country to make spending promises and Trudeau has started to go back to what he is best at and pose for various photo-ops indicating that the Liberals expect an election to be coming soon.

Right now all signs are pointing to an autumn divorce for Justin and Jagmeet who might not be able to make it a full year as a couple, but at least they made it longer than Kim Kardashian and Kris Humphries.